The Oil Chart Is Up, Your Fund Is Down—and It Never Owned a Barrel
A crude oil fund holds no barrel of West Texas Intermediate. It holds futures contracts stamped with expiry dates, and it has to replace them.

This section is about the distance between a price on a screen and the contract that price belongs to. A quoted number is the output of a rule — which contract month, which settlement window, which exchange, which counterparty obligation — and the rule is published. Materials here take the published rule and work forward from it: what a futures-based fund actually owns when it reports a return, why a power price can print below zero in the middle of the day, how a settlement is struck and who is required to file the figure afterwards.
The materials here start from a document rather than from a chart: the storage spread a trader reads off the forward curve, the roll schedule a futures-based fund discloses in its own filings, the day-ahead auction that lets a power price settle below zero. Each one names the report it works from and the period that report covers, so a reader can open the same page the material was written from. Where the earlier column wrote on these subjects, its pieces stay at their own addresses under the headings their author gave them.

A crude oil fund holds no barrel of West Texas Intermediate. It holds futures contracts stamped with expiry dates, and it has to replace them.

On a sunny spring weekend, the wholesale price of a megawatt-hour in California can slide past zero and keep falling.


The U.S. Energy Information Administration slices the natural-gas year into two neat halves: injection season runs from April 1 through October 31
Government As Tough Love An Interview with Robert Shiller Dec 16, 2025 Brandon Adams When we observe people fall from grace, we tend to get a dopamine jolt that can
1. The Smartest Guys in the Room 2. The Big Short 3. When Genius Failed 4. Liar’s Poker 5. Barbarians at the Gate 6. Den of Thieves 7. Predators’ Ball 8. DotCon 9.
Earlier this week, one of the lead economic correspondents from the New York Times tweeted a story from the NYT with the headline “US Economy is Better Prepared for
I have been told that you shouldn’t short high valuations. Short broken business models instead.
Back in the spring of 2008, oil prices hit the $80 range, climbing on a seemingly endless ascent from $15/barrel in 2002 (it’s hard to even imagine oil at
Just this past week, we saw an IBM computer beat Ken Jennings on Jeopardy. Over a decade ago, an IBM computer bested Gary Kasparov at chess.
I have to admit, when I first heard about it, the idea of 3-d printing it blew my mind.

The key to reviving affordable and innovative game development The landscape for game development has changed significantly in the last couple of years, with higher