The Social Security COLA Tracks a Basket Retirees Don’t Buy
The annual cost-of-living increase that lands in the bank accounts of more than 70 million Social Security recipients is not, in any practical sense

Thresholds decide who counts. This section applies published statistical definitions to households: how an income band is drawn, what an index formula weights, when a series is rebased, and what a figure excludes by construction rather than by oversight. The aim is not to argue that a number is wrong but to state what it measures — which is usually narrower than the use it is put to.
Three published series carry most of that here: the two official earnings figures that disagree because they count different units, the food budget from the early 1960s that still anchors the poverty threshold, and the price index used to set the annual increase in retirement payments. In each case the definition is quoted, the agency that maintains it is named, and the use the figure is put to is stated apart from what it measures. The column’s own essays on incomes and class stay under its headings.

The annual cost-of-living increase that lands in the bank accounts of more than 70 million Social Security recipients is not, in any practical sense

Two official earnings figures disagree because they answer different questions: the Census Bureau measures a household, the BLS an hourly wage.


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